tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8063840812042556351.post1635782442171655432..comments2022-03-23T13:01:27.364-04:00Comments on The Visionary's Sports Handicapping Blog: 5-0 (+14 unit) Thursday Night Sweep! Visionary's Friday MLB Picks & NCAA Football Picks!The Visionaryhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09643610851590484329noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8063840812042556351.post-41223627413318325742008-09-12T21:23:00.000-04:002008-09-12T21:23:00.000-04:00Carl,Another Q & A post titled "Is Vegas ...Carl,<BR/><BR/>Another Q & A post titled "<A HREF="http://visionarysports.blogspot.com/2008/09/q-is-vegas-setting-traps-in-spreads.html" REL="nofollow">Is Vegas Setting 'Traps' In The Spreads?</A>" has been made in response to your question. Hope this answers your question and I don't sound too much like a blow hard. LOL. <BR/><BR/>-The VisionaryThe Visionaryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08252685308905015500noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8063840812042556351.post-88658756814663862992008-09-12T18:47:00.000-04:002008-09-12T18:47:00.000-04:00Here's a question I'd be interested to hear your t...Here's a question I'd be interested to hear your thoughts on. Given the busy weekend ahead, if you want to wait until next week to address it, that's fine by me. But I'll go ahead and ask now.<BR/><BR/>I always hear people saying that books set lines to encourage equal action on both sides, content to take the vig. In theory, yes, I would agree with that. It's the essence of why the line moves as action comes in. But in reality, is this truly the case?<BR/><BR/>Case in point: East Carolina vs. Virginia Tech two weeks ago. Tech was laying 9, maybe 9.5. I'm sure many people looked at that and couldn't believe Tech was laying "only" 9 points to some directional state school. People then proceed to hammer Tech. Not surprisingly, ECU not only covered, but they won outright. I was on ECU, and I'm sure many others were, too. I've seen that situation play out too many times to get suckered again. But a lot of players probably got crushed chasing that "free money" line.<BR/><BR/>This weekend, I see it again in the NFL. My Redskins, who looked absolutely atrocious against the Giants, were installed as a 1.5 point favorite at home against the high-octane Saints. Not surprisingly, people have already hammered it the other way to where it's the Saints laying 1.0 in some cases (it's a pick in most places). As a Skins fan who thinks this team is in for a very long year, I have a really hard time not laying it with the Saints. However, with a gun to my head, based on that opening line, I'd have to take the Skins. Am I crazy?<BR/><BR/>The linemakers are obviously very good at what they do, but I'm not convinced they don't set traps each week for the public to walk right into. Is this the case, or are these cases a matter of flawed perception by the public?<BR/><BR/>I'll hang up and listen. Thanks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8063840812042556351.post-32886926923691541022008-09-12T17:14:00.000-04:002008-09-12T17:14:00.000-04:00Love the props. I think we need to put it front a...Love the props. I think we need to put it front and center at the top of the page after you pass +150 units.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8063840812042556351.post-1653069007307306242008-09-12T14:29:00.000-04:002008-09-12T14:29:00.000-04:00Carl,Like how I gave you some props for the blog m...Carl,<BR/><BR/>Like how I gave you some props for the blog motto in today's post?<BR/><BR/>-Ths VisionaryThe Visionaryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08252685308905015500noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8063840812042556351.post-5674636170147125452008-09-12T14:28:00.000-04:002008-09-12T14:28:00.000-04:00Carl,You are right. That was a typo and it was su...Carl,<BR/><BR/>You are right. That was a typo and it was supposed to be -120 which was the overnight line. I would have noticed it when I was scoring the play. I have changed it on the blog. My pending wager says -119. I know it has gone up a little bit since then at most books. However, you can still get it at -125 at <A HREF="http://www.sportbet.com/index.asp?BannerId=19661" REL="nofollow">Sportbet</A>. I still advise playing it at -130 or so as well. <BR/><BR/>-The VisionaryThe Visionaryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08252685308905015500noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8063840812042556351.post-15916910896407248982008-09-12T13:16:00.000-04:002008-09-12T13:16:00.000-04:00Can you double check that Mets run line? I don't s...Can you double check that Mets run line? I don't see it anywhere near +120.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com