Saturday, September 13, 2008

The Visionry's 'Bounce-Back' Sunday NFL Picks

2008 MLB Baseball Picks Record: 58-44 (+70.90 Units / 57%)
2008 NFL Football Picks Record: 25-12 (+38.20 Units / 68%)
2008 NCAA Football Picks Record: 18-15 (+1.30 Units / 55%)

Good (Or Maybe Not So Good) Morning:

Yes indeed, Saturday was an absolute nightmare that just wouldn't end. It was by far the worst day that The Visionary has had since the very beginning of this blog and in a long long time. I am completely humbled right now and downright embarrassed after Saturday. I knew that one of those horrible days eventually would come, but for crying out loud UCLA???!!! You honestly have to be kidding me! I am going to have to rededicate myself with the college football and get back to some basics. I know that I am still in the very much in the black and so are my readers that have been following for a while now, but Saturday is still extremely frustrating for many reasons. I am more frustrated then all of you right now, honestly. A ridiculous loss like Saturday really makes me think that I should be making serious changes to the way I am doing my handicapping. The truth is that I probably shouldn't be making any changes at all. It's all just very discouraging and frustrating.

This is the really ugly side about running a blog like this and this is what I have always despised when working for handicapping services. It really stinks that I gave back XX units and that I am losing my own money to the books (or giving it back to them). However, I really feel horribly (maybe even worse) for my new (or first-time) readers that have just started playing with me and may have already been in a hole. To this category of player: I just hope that you will give me another opportunity to show where the above records are coming from. I am much better then what I showed you with Saturday's college football picks. It may be hard for you to believe, but it's the truth. You can see this by looking at the picks over the past 3 months. Everyone, I am really sorry for the terrible day that I put you through and I hope that most of you are long time readers that already had a big bankroll built up with me. As hard as it may be, it's time for me to put Saturday behind me.

Alright, enough of my whining. Let's get to the NFL picks. No time for football handicapping tips for today. We have a few plays for Sunday's NFL action, where the Visionary hopes to bounce back very strong. Here they are...

The Visionary's Sunday NFL Football Picks:

Pick: New York Jets -1 (NFL)
Value: 5 Unit Play

Pick: Pittsburgh @ Cleveland Over 44 (NFL)
Value: 4 Unit Play

Pick: Denver Broncos -1 (NFL)
Value: 3 Unit Play

Pick: Miami Dolphins +6.5 (NFL)
Value: 2 Unit Play

Pick: San Francisco 49ers +6.5 (NFL)
Value: 2 Unit Play

(The Visionary's free sports picks are rated on a 1-5 unit scale)

To the asshole who was flooding my comments section last night: You know who you are. Yea you, the lurkers who had nothing to say over the past three months while I was winning and suddenly had no problem trashing and flooding my blog when I had bad day, it's time to grow up and have at least some class. Do you really not have anything better to do? I am not happy about losing my money either, but I don't trash your property because of it. Me having a bad day doesn't give you the right to flood my comments section. Nobody is forcing you to do anything. If you don't follow my picks, nothing will happen to you. I really hope that I don't have to delete another flood of comments the next time I have a bad day. I may just have to turn the comments moderation on if t happens again.

Good Luck Today!


-The Visionary

3 comments:

Jeff said...

Don't worry about yesterday my man that's what sports betting is all about its a roller coaster ride and you have to be cut out for the high's and the low's of sports betting.

To the people who flooded the board with negative comments, this guy went 5 and 0 the other night so lay off.

Visionary - I'm thinking of playing St. Louis today getting 8.5 points AT HOME. I know they looked terrible last week against Philly but I can't see the Giants covering this spread. What do you think?

The Visionary said...

Jeff,

I really appreciate the support. I know that that there are ups and downs, but most people don't. They see a hot streak and they think that there is no chance at losing. So, they bet more then they should, and when they lose, they want to blame someone else for their own lack of discipline.

As for St. Louis, I highly considered this play. It's hard for me to completely overlook a home dog of that many points. But, if you are looking for some reassurance and someone to give your Rams play some validity, you're probably not going to get it here.

Usually, I would have no problem pulling the trigger on a big home dog like this, especially for a small play. However, there are too many valid reasons why I just couldn't pull the trigger in this one. So, I will play devil's advocate for you and explain a little as to why I didn't take a shot here.

The Giants offense looked great in the first half of week one and then they just went to sleep in the second half. I not sure which Giants offense we are going to get today. This is a Giants team that ran the ball and played very well overall on the road last season, which was also in my mind the entire time when looking at this game. The G-men will get their yards on the ground for sure, but if we get the first half of week 1 Eli Manning, this game will get out of hand.

The other problem that I had here was with the lowly Rams. I just couldn't put my money in the hands of the Rams this week, not even 1 unit. They showed be absolutely nothing at all last week @ Philly. If they just gave me a little sign of life and put up a pride TD or two, I'd probably be on this one today. I also think that Scott Linehan might be in over his head a little bit as an NFL head coach. Not sure he was ready for this job. All I have seen from this Rams team since his hire is a disgruntled locker room, bad play calling for the personal, and a team that has made zero progress. This team is actually degressing and they are on the bottom of my NFL power rankings this week.

But again, I am not going to tell you that you absolutely shouldn't play a home dog where you are getting this many points as it usually is a high percentage move.

Thanks for the support and the comments. I hope this helped you in some way.

-The Visionary

Anonymous said...

Visionary,

Just wanted to thank you for everything you do on this site. Yeah it was a bad night yesterday but it happens. I been following you for about 5 weeks and you,ve always seem to bounce back. Keep up the good work! And as far as the haters out there, that's a good thing. The better you are at the something the more haters you have.

Marco