Thursday, September 11, 2008

The Visionary's Major League Baseball & College Football Picks For Thursday Night

2008 MLB Baseball Picks Record: 56-44 (+63.90 Units)
2008 NFL Football Picks Record: 25-12 (+38.20 Units)
2008 NCAA Football Picks Record: 14-9 (+11.40 Units)



Good Morning Sports Bettors:

Wednesday was not very pretty as we had our first losing day in almost a week. That's what I get for laying that kind of ridiculous chalk on an average NL baseball team in Philadelphia. I believe last Friday was the last time we gave the books back some of our cash. I spent the entire day going over the college football matchup for Thursday night and examining the baseball board in effort to make a quick 180. I know that in the past, we would usually fire right back with a big winner after a losing night and we would usually come back strong. There is nothing I would love more then to give you all a strong bounce-back card for Thursday filled with 4 and 5 unit plays. But, I just can't in good conscience release any real big plays tonight. I will never tell you to bet a game that I am not personally betting myself. I do, however, have a 3-unit play in the North Carolina @ Rutgers matchup, but I can't advise making any big moves on this game. I do believe the public is moving the line the wrong way, but I haven't seen enough of UNC (this year or last year). I am under the impression that Rutgers is more of a mistake prone team then North Carolina. I see the Tar Heels winning the crucial turnover battle tonight. Anyway, we have two average to small plays in the bases. I am also playing the total in tonight's college football matchup along with a small moneyline play. I feel fairly good about this card and it has the potential to get us back to our winning ways. By the way, I am extremely excited about this weekend's NFL and NCAA football action as I see some serious line mistakes that I think we could take advantage of. Here is are Thursday MLB and NCAA football picks. I'll see you all tomorrow...

Visionary's Free Sports Picks For Thursday:

Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels +6 (CFB)
Value: 3 Unit Play

Pick: North Carolina @ Rutgers Over 46.5 (CFB)
Value: 2 Unit Play

Pick: Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +180 (MLB)
Value: 2 Unit Play

Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5 +170 (MLB)
Value: 2 Unit Play

Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels +200 (MLB)
Value: 1 Unit Play

(The Visionary's free sports picks are rated on a 1-5 unit scale)

See you all tomorrow!

-The Visionary

6 comments:

Stephen said...

This may be a stupid question but I wanted to check with you and make sure I understand how to bet "units." A unit is basically your minimum bet, correct? For example, my bankroll isn't very large and my math is spotty at best so to keep things simple I am considering one unit to be $10. So when you suggest a bet for two units I take that line for $20. A 5 unit bet means I put down $50. Is this the right way of going about it?

The Visionary said...

Stephen,

I answered your question in some detail and created a new blog post in an answer. I hope that this helps you.

Money Management in Sports Betting

-The Visionary

Carl Williams said...

The Visionary owns!

The Visionary said...

Stephen..

Just for one final clarification, you should have been up 14 units (or $140 at $10 per unit) while only risking 10 units (or $100). Very nice day today!


Carl...

Again, thanks for the kind remark....I think..? lol. You do know that you are allowed to say to say something else, right? I am assuming by your 'the visionary owns' remarks on some of my blog posts that you are playing these picks and making money from them. I hope that this is the case and you are trying to convey your appreciation.

-The Visionary

Carl Williams said...

Dude, it's all positive. Trust me. Love the blog and, obviously, love the picks, although I'm not wagering anything serious (which I'm currently reconsidering).

In any event, for now, the mantra is:

The Visionary owns!

The Visionary said...

Carl,

Alright, sounds good. I can roll with that Motto. Stick with your same betting amounts and do not over-extend yourself. Every season has it's roller coaster rides. The last thing that you want to do it start 'chasing potential wins'. I wrote the short article on Money Management in Sports Betting for a reason. I am glad to hear that you are enjoying the picks. I am also wondering how many lurkers there are on here cashing in on the picks. I installed Google analytics tracking to see what kind of traffic this blog is receiving. Anyway, Friday's post coming in just a few minutes. How about we keep this hot streak alive!

Take care Carl,

-The Visionary